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The 34th Rovenstine Lecture

Anesthesia Safety and Mortality Studies in the 1950's through 1970's

Ellison C. Pierce, Jr., M.D., Associate Clinical Professor of Anaesthesia, Harvard Medical School, Chairman Emeritus, Department of Anaesthesia, Deaconess Hospital, Boston, MA

What, then, was the status of anesthesia patient safety in 1954? From a somewhat humorous standpoint it was well described in the preface of Stanley Sykes' wonderful essays, "The First Hundred Years of Anesthesia". (6) He quotes Lincoln, in his Gettysburg Address, "It is for us, the living, rather to be dedicated here to the unfinished work which they who fought here have thus so nobly advanced. It is rather for us to be here dedicated to the great task remaining before us, that...we here highly resolve that these dead shall not have died in vain".

But an enormous awakening was also at hand in 1954. It began with the huge controversy that greeted the publication of the paper by Beecher and Todd, "A Study of the Deaths Associated with Anesthesia and Surgery", which appeared in the July 1954 issue of Annals of Surgery in my first month as an anesthesia resident. (7) I remember the anger in Dr. Dripps' voice as he refuted the data, especially the statement that the study "strongly suggests an inherent toxicity" in the neuromuscular blocking drugs. The publication was one of the first to add a denominator when considering anesthesia deaths; evaluations of the previous 100 years were limited to analyses that did not consider the number of anesthetics administered. Beecher examined nearly 600,000 anesthetics administered over a five year period in ten university hospitals. He noted who the anesthetists were, what techniques and agents were used, and whether the trachea was intubated. The incidence of anesthesia mortality was found to be 3.7 per 10,000 anesthetics with anesthesia as a primary cause.

One year later, also in Annals of Surgery, sixteen distinguished American anesthesiologists published a paper entitled, "Critique of 'A Study of the Deaths Associated with Anesthesia and Surgery'".(8) They stated, (we) "believe that many of the important conclusions drawn by Beecher and Todd are not justified on the basis of the statistics presented..." and suggested that missing data in the Beecher paper, such as site of operation, depth of relaxation required, duration of anesthesia and operation, and severity of surgical trauma, negated many of the conclusions. They, as had Dripps and Manny Papper at Columbia, objected strongly to the suggestion that use of "curare" results in higher mortality rates. A few years later, in a retrospective study initiated after the Beecher paper, Dripps analyzed the role of anesthesia in surgical mortality at the University of Pennsylvania. (9) Among some 33,000 patients given either a general anesthetic to which neuromuscular blockers were added or a spinal anesthetic there were no deaths attributable to anesthesia in ASA Physical Status I patients, although the overall mortality rate with anesthesia as the primary cause was 11.7 per 10,000 anesthetics.

Here, then, were two decades of numerous studies world wide of anesthesia deaths, with mortality rates ranging from 1 to 12 per 10,000 anesthetics. Anesthesia study commissions, examining postoperative deaths, proliferated. A well known one was in Baltimore, directed by Otto Phillips, where during a five and a half year period ending in 1959 they found anesthesia to be the principal cause of mortality in some 6% of the deaths and a contributing factor in 13%.(10) Phillips declared death from anesthesia a major public health problem. He opened a review of anesthesia mortality with an anonymous quotation; "You members of the medical profession, gentlemen, are in a favored position - the world acclaims your successes and flowers cover your failures." (11)

Perhaps the most important result in all of this was the increased interest among anesthetists in improving anesthesia outcomes. It was in 1962 that I became interested in anesthesia patient safety. I had joined Leroy Vandam at the Peter Bent Brigham Hospital as defacto Vice Chairman. In his inimitable way one day he assigned me the subject, "anesthesia accidents", to be given as a resident's lecture. I still have notes in my files from that talk, which began a collection of anesthesia mishaps that I knew about personally, somewhat akin to a chapter in Sykes' Essays, entitled, "37 Little Things Which Have All Caused Death". (12)

Arthur Keats, who had been an anesthesia resident at the Massachusetts General Hospital during the period that the Beecher study was undertaken, criticized anesthesia mortality studies. He argued in 1970 that, "the relative risk of all anesthetics commonly used today remains unknown". (13) He stated that, " for most deaths, assignment of the relative roles of anesthesia, surgery and patient disease is based on retrospective assumptions, hindsight judgement, bias, and incomplete information." He opened his paper with a quotation from Sir William Osler, "Errors in judgement must occur in the practice of an art which consists largely in balancing probabilities."

Later Dr. Keats continued his thesis, in the 1978 Crawford W. Long Memorial Lecture at Emory (14), and the 1990 Seldine Lecture.(15) He re-emphasized that we in anesthesia are unable even to define an anesthetic death. Bias often exempts anesthetic agents from adequate risk/benefit analysis. He particularly criticized the classic 1948 article, "Deaths Under Anesthetics", by the eminent British anesthetist, Robert Macintosh, who stated, that all anesthetic deaths are preventable, the result of errors. (16) Dr. Keats wrote, "Thirty years of self flagellation in the form of anesthetic mortality studies have generated an abundance of 'errors'...,all published estimates of the incidence of error the incidence of anesthetic deaths are now unacceptable...Demonstration of a cause-effect relationship is absolutely essential if any secure knowledge of mechanisms of anesthetic deaths is to be achieved." He cited the discovery of new mechanisms for anesthesia death such as malignant hyperthermia and succinylcholine induced hyperkalemia. Dr. Keats concluded that we must rid ourselves of error bias.

William Hamilton , Keats' great friend and hunting companion of many years, in an editorial, challenged the implication that drugs per se are responsible for an important number of anesthetic deaths. (17) He did agree that much bias had been present in anesthesia mortality evaluations, especially equating departure from current clinical practices with error. In contrast, Dr. Hamilton believed that anesthesiologists had carefully evaluated risk/benefit concepts following review of death reports, as in halothane hepatitis, for example. He stated that whereas we previously tended to blame drugs or the patient's disease when anesthesia went amiss, now we correctly recognize the ever increasing importance of human error; --- "To blame an undiscovered or unexplained acute toxic effect of a drug, an idiosyncratic reaction, or divine intervention, as would appear to be Dr. Keats' thrust, is very questionable when we know that physician errors can result in mortality." He stated that the controversy between Keats and him concerned the relative role of drugs as problems in opposition to management errors on the part of the anesthetist and concluded that "... it is important to know whether anesthetic deaths attributable to error amount to 10 or 90 per cent". "In my view error is near the 90% end." I have reviewed the debate between Keats and Hamilton because it remains relevant. Moreover, I also believe the scale is closer to the 90% end.

The almost exclusive use of crude anesthesia mortality studies to evaluate anesthesia outcome was brilliantly interrupted in 1978 with the publication of Jeffrey Cooper's first paper describing critical incident analysis applied to anesthesia. (18) The technique, utilized in military aviation during World War II, had a profound effect on aviation safety which continues even today.

Cooper simply discarded evaluation of mortality rates as the major measure of negative anesthesia outcome. Rather, he stated, "Factors associated with anesthetists and/or factors that may have predisposed anesthetists to err have, with a few exceptions, not been previously analyzed. Furthermore, no study has focused on the process of error - its causes, the circumstances that surround it, or its association with specific procedures, devices, etc. - regardless of final outcome." Data for this first study using the critical incident technique in anesthesia were obtained from 47 interviews of staff and resident anesthesiologists at a large teaching hospital. In a follow up paper published in 1984 the database was enlarged to include a total of 139 anesthesiologists, residents, and nurse anesthetists from four Boston hospitals in which 1,089 descriptions of preventable critical incidents were collected. (19) Their 1978 tables listing the distribution of frequent critical incidents and associated factors are now classics (Tables 1 and 2).

  • Train, Educate, and Supervise
  • Use appropriate monitoring instrumentation and vigilance.
  • Recognize the limitations influencing individual performance.
  • Establish and follow preparation and inspection protocol.
  • Assure equipment performance.
  • Design and organize work space.
  • Act on incident reports - eliminate the pitfalls.Based upon his observations, Cooper early on proposed corrective strategies to lessen the likelihood of an incident occurring. (20)

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Last updated: 02.07.2008

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